Top MLB Betting Lines and Odds for Baseball Bettors

17 min read
Jul 4, 2024, 12:41 PM
Author
Nick Ashbourne
Nick Ashbourne
Senior Writer
Last Updated: Jan 10, 2025, 3:03 PM

Understanding MLB Betting Lines and Odds

MLB lines are the way sportsbooks display odds and options to bet on Major League Baseball games. A line provides key information about the implied probability and potential payouts for different types of wagers on an MLB betting market.

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Some common lines are found on bet types such as the moneyline (picking the outright winner), run line (a spread-based be), game totals (over/under on runs scored), and team total bets (over/under for one team).

Lines are shaped by team performance, pitching matchups, injuries, and public betting trends. Oddsmakers use these to set lines in hopes of getting approximately equal action on both sides of a bet.

Knowing how to read and interpret these lines is important for making informed bets. This guide will provide information on understanding MLB odds and bet types.

How to Read Major League Baseball Betting Odds

The odds presented for MLB games aren't notably different from those for other North American leagues, such as the NBA and NHL, where each game results in a win or loss with no ties.

That means the vast majority of online sportsbooks during baseball season will provide an odds dashboard with the moneyline, run line, and over/under total for each game.

This is an example of an MLB odds table from DraftKings Sportsbook.

MLB Odds

This is an example of an MLB odds dashboard from DraftKings Sportsbook.

That said, there are still multiple formats for these odds. The three you need to know about to read MLB odds and understand how to bet on MLB games are American, Decimal, and Fractional.

American Odds

American betting odds, or moneyline odds, are primarily used in the United States.

They are based on a baseline bet of $100 and can be either positive or negative, indicating the profit or the amount you need to bet to win $100 respectively.

Basic Concept

Positive odds indicate how much profit you will make on a $100 bet, while negative odds indicate how much you need to bet to make a $100 profit.

  • Example: Odds of +250 mean you will profit $250 on a $100 bet. Odds of -150 mean you need to bet $150 to make a $100 profit.

Calculating Winnings

  • Positive Odds: Winnings = (Stake x (Positive Odds / 100)) + Stake
  • Example: If you bet $100 at FanDuel with odds of +200, your total return will be $300 ($100 x 2 + $100). The profit is $200 ($300 - $100).

 

  • Negative Odds: Winnings = (Stake / (Negative Odds / 100)) + Stake
  • Example: If you bet $150 at odds of -150 at BetRivers, your total return will be $250 ($150 / 1.5 + $150). The profit is $100 ($250 - $150).

Comparing Odds

  • Positive Odds: Indicate a lower probability of the outcome and a higher potential return.
  • Negative Odds: Indicate a higher probability of the outcome and a lower potential return.

Quick Tips

  • Odds of +100: This is evens, meaning you double your money if you win.
  • Negative Odds: These show the favorite in the matchup, requiring a larger stake to win a smaller profit.
  • Positive Odds: These show the underdog in the matchup, offering a larger profit for a smaller stake.

Decimal Odds

Decimal betting odds, commonly used in Europe, Australia, and Canada, are a straightforward way to understand potential returns from a bet.

Basic Concept

The decimal number represents the total return for every unit bet. This includes both the profit and the initial stake.

  • Example: A bet with odds of 2.50 means you will receive $2.50 for every $1 bet if your wager is successful.

Calculating Winnings

  • Formula: Winnings = (Stake x Decimal Odds) - Stake
  • Example: If you bet $10 at odds of 3.00 at BetMGM, your total return will be $30 ($10 x 3.00). The profit is $20 ($30 - $10).

Comparing Odds

  • Higher Decimal Odds: Indicate a lower probability of the outcome and a higher potential return.
  • Lower Decimal Odds: Indicate a higher probability of the outcome and a lower potential return.

Quick Tips

  • Decimal Odds of 2.00: This is evens, meaning you double your money if you win.
  • Odds Less Than 2.00: These are "odds-on" and signify that the return is less than double your stake.
  • Odds Greater Than 2.00: These signify that the return is more than double your stake.

Fractional Odds

Fractional betting odds, commonly used in the UK and Ireland, may seem less intuitive at first glance than the other formats. However, once you understand the basics, they provide clear insight into the profit you can make relative to your stake.

  • Basic Concept: The fraction represents the profit relative to the stake. The numerator (top number) is the profit, and the denominator (bottom number) is the stake.
  • Example: Odds of 5/2 mean you will make a profit of $5 for every $2 bet if your wager is successful.

Calculating Winnings

  • Formula: Winnings = (Stake x (Numerator / Denominator)) + Stake
  • Example: If you bet $10 at odds of 3/1 at Bet365, your total return will be $40 ($10 x 3/1 + $10). The profit is $30 ($40 - $10).

Comparing Odds

  • Higher Fractions: Indicate a lower probability of the outcome and a higher potential return (e.g., 10/1).
  • Lower Fractions: Indicate a higher probability of the outcome and a lower potential return (e.g., 1/2).

Quick Tips

  • Fractional Odds of 1/1: This is evens, meaning you double your money if you win.
  • "Odds-On": These are fractions where the numerator is smaller than the denominator (e.g., 1/2), indicating that the return is less than double your stake.
  • "Odds-Against": These are fractions where the numerator is larger than the denominator (e.g., 3/1), indicating that the return is more than double your stake.

Most Reviewed MLB Sportsbooks

FanDuel Sportsbook
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  • Availability across most of US legal states
  • Competitive odds & diverse markets
  • Attentive customer service
  • Extensive list of Same Game Parlay's
  • App speeds vary for some users
  • Geo locate sometimes unreliable
AZ
CO
CT
IL
IN
IA
KS
KY
LA
MD
MA
MI
NJ
NY
OH
PA
TN
VA
WV
WY
NC
VT
DC
ON
CAD
USD
VISA
Mastercard
Discover
Debit Cards
ApplePay
Google Pay
Venmo
PayPal
FanDuel Prepaid Card
Cash at Retail Stores
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Bank Wire Transfer
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DraftKings Sportsbook
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  • Extensive betting markets
  • Live betting
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  • Strong security measures
  • Mobile app connectivity issues
  • Maximum bets on odds boosts are low.
  • Promotional restrictions
NJ
CO
OH
IA
VA
KY
AZ
CT
IL
IN
KS
LA
MD
MA
MI
NH
NY
OR
PA
TN
WA
WV
WY
ON
PR
DC
CAD
USD
ACH/eCHECK
American Express
ApplePay
Google Pay
Debit Cards
VISA
Bank Wire Transfer
PayPal
Trustly
Paynearme
paysafecard
Cash at Cage
Skrill
Cash at Retail Stores
DraftKings Gift Card
Play+
Venmo
VIP Preferred
Mastercard
Discover
Go to Website
Details
BetMGM Sportsbook
BetMGM First Bet Offer: Up To $1500 In Bonus Bets
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  • Available in many U.S. States and Canada
  • Numerous betting markets
  • Major partnerships with teams/leagues
  • Promotions are timely and change rapidly
  • Connectivity issues on betting app
AZ
CO
IN
IA
IL
KS
KY
LA
MD
MI
NJ
OH
PA
TN
VA
DC
WV
WY
NC
ON
MO
MA
MS
NV
NY
NM
OR
SD
WA
CAD
USD
Venmo
American Express
Borgata Cage
Mastercard
VISA
Paynearme
PayPal
Play+
BetMGM GiftCard
VIP Preferred
Bank Wire Transfer
ApplePay
Google Pay
Discover
GameOn Gift Card
Debit Cards
Go to Website
Details
ESPN Bet Sportsbook
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  • Extensive Market Reach.
  • Unmatched Fan Engagement.
  • Live betting.
  • Digital media bohemeth.
  • Limited live streaming.
  • Connectivity issues on betting apps.
AZ
CO
IL
IA
KS
KY
LA
MD
MI
NJ
OH
PA
TN
VA
WV
MA
NC
USD
CAD
VISA
Mastercard
Trustly
ACH/eCHECK
PayPal
Skrill
Venmo
Cash at Cage
Bank Wire Transfer
ApplePay
Debit Cards
Go to Website
Details

Live MLB Odds and Betting Lines

MLB odds evolve significantly while games are taking place.

Baseball lends itself to live betting because of its relatively slow pace of play, which includes breaks after every half-inning and during pitching changes. This allows bettors to evaluate the movement of each team's odds and find logical entry points for their wagers.

For instance, if a particular pitcher is warming up in the bullpen for the final inning, that might give a bettor confidence in a late moneyline wager. Star closers are an example of players who could motivate this type of behavior.

During the 2024 season, there were six closers who produced 30 or more saves, and all of them converted those save opportunities at an extremely high rate.

Save percentage of top closers

If you knew one of these players was entering the game, you might be inclined to bet on their MLB teams' moneylines, considering their track record for preserving leads.

Meaningful substitutions can happen too quickly in some sports to inform live betting strategies, but in MLB games, there is time to adjust tactics and make new wagers on any pitching change, which comes with a commercial break.

Type of Baseball Bets

Anyone interested in betting on baseball will find a variety of available markets ranging from common bets to more exotic wagers.

Below is a rundown of some of the options for MLB betting:

MLB Moneyline and Runline

The simplest MLB bets are moneyline and run-line wagers. These MLB lines are generally what bettors see first in the baseball section of any online sportsbook.

A money line is a bet on which team will win outright, regardless of the margin of victory.

A run-line bet is a point spread wager. Outside of extreme scenarios, the run line is almost always -1.5, meaning that when you place a bet on this market, you are generally wagering on one team to either win by two or more runs or stay within one run of their opposition.

MLB Totals and Props

A couple of other popular bet types are totals and prop bets.

There are multiple ways to bet on totals. The most common format is game run totals, where bettors wager on whether both teams will combine to produce more or fewer runs than a specified line. It's also possible to bet on one team's output rather than the game total.

Bettors can also be more specific with their totals by targeting specific sections of the game, such as the first three or five innings.

When it comes to prop bets, there is a dizzying array of options. Most sportsbooks have specific markets for outcomes for all 18 players in a game's starting lineups and both starting pitchers.

Examples of prop betting markets for hitters include runs, hits, RBI, total bases, home runs, and stolen bases. The most common pitching props are wins, outs, and strikeouts.

MLB Parlays and Series Betting

MLB betting allows for plenty of parlay possibilities, either within a single game or combining multiple contests.

The simplest parlay bet is a wager that multiple MLB games will simultaneously have specific results. Instead of placing moneyline bets on three different teams, a bettor may try to increase their potential payout by putting those three wins into a single wager.

Here's an example of how that works if you bet $10 on three different favorites at -110 or bet the same total amount ($30) on all three of them to win simultaneously.

Bet TypeTotal StakeTotal Profit
3 Single Bets$30$27.27
1 Parlay$30$178.73

[DraftKings Parlay Calculator]

It's important to remember that putting multiple bets into a parlay vastly reduces the chances of winning, though, and parlay bets tend to be extremely profitable for sportsbooks.

Series bets are a notable betting type specific to Major League Baseball. Because the MLB season is primarily structured as a three-game series, it is possible to wager on which team will win at least two of the three contests. While these wagers are not available in two-game and four-game series, the three-game format is most common.

MLB Futures Odds and World Series Odds

Baseball can be difficult to predict on a day-to-day basis, leading some bettors to prefer futures betting.

Sportsbooks offer various futures markets on season-long team achievements, such as winning divisional titles, exceeding a particular win total, or winning a World Series title.

You can bet on teams like the Los Angeles Dodgers or New York Yankees to win the next World Series all year round. However, the odds listed consistently change due to team performance during the season or off-season transactions.

It's also possible to bet on individual players exceeding specific statistical thresholds or winning awards like the Cy Young or MVP.

First Inning and First Five Innings Betting

On the other end of the spectrum, it's also possible to wager on a particular section of any given game. The most common bets in this genre are bets on the first inning or first five innings.

While these intervals may seem arbitrary, there is a structural reason they are favorites among MLB bettors. The first five innings, for instance, are the period of the game when it is most certain that both teams will use their starting pitchers, and it is difficult to know which relievers might come out of the bullpen after that.

Some pitchers also have lengthy statistical track records of thriving or struggling in the first inning. When bettors are confident in both starting pitchers in a particular game, they might opt for “No Runs First Inning” or NFRI bets.

For example, in 2024, New York Mets starter David Peterson had the lowest ERA in the majors when he faced batters for the first time in a game (1.15). That performance could influence bettors to make NRFI wagers in his starts.

Conclusion: Understanding MLB Odds

MLB betting allows baseball fans to engage with America’s pastime in a new way. By understanding the fundamentals, exploring diverse bet types, and developing informed strategies, you can enhance both your betting experience and appreciation for the game.

Below are the key takeaways from this guide:

Understanding MLB Odds Basics:

  • Familiarize yourself with odds formats: American, Decimal, and Fractional.
  • Learn key concepts like implied probability and how odds impact potential payouts.
  • Recognize how sportsbooks set lines based on team performance, pitching matchups, and public betting trends.

Bet Types and Strategic Considerations:

  • Common MLB bets include moneylines, run lines, totals, props, and parlays.
  • Explore specialized options like series betting, first-inning bets, and live in-play wagering.
  • Leverage player stats, pitching matchups, and game conditions to inform your wagers.

Final Thoughts

Betting on MLB games can be enjoyable and rewarding when approached with knowledge and preparation.

From mastering odds formats to analyzing key game factors, this guide equips you with the tools to make informed and confident wagers.

MLB Betting Lines FAQ

MLB Betting Basics

What does the term “opening line” mean in MLB betting?

The “opening line” is the initial odds or point spread set by sportsbooks for a game. These lines often shift based on betting activity, injuries, or other factors leading up to the game.

How do I place a bet on my favorite team, like the Colorado Rockies?

You can place a bet on your favorite team by selecting their moneyline to bet on them to win the game outright, or by betting on the run line if you believe they’ll cover the spread. Keep in mind that betting on your favorite team may introduce bias, so analyze the odds and matchups objectively.

4. What happens if my team loses by just one run on a run-line bet?

If you bet on the run line and your team was the underdog at +1.5, you would win your bet. However, if your team was the favorite at -1.5, losing by one run means the bet is unsuccessful.

Setting Lines

How do sportsbooks decide which of the two teams is favored to win?

Oddsmakers consider factors such as team performance, pitching matchups, and recent trends to determine the likelihood of each team winning. For instance, a strong performance streak might make the Philadelphia Phillies the favorite team in a particular matchup.

Why might an AL team like the Chicago White Sox have longer odds than an NL team like the Philadelphia Phillies?

The odds often reflect team performance and public perception. If the White Sox are struggling or facing a strong opponent like the Phillies, who are likely to make the MLB playoffs, they may be listed as underdogs, resulting in longer odds to win the game outright. 

National League odds and American League odds shouldn't differ significantly unless the quality of the teams involved varies.

References

Sources
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<p>Nick has been fascinated with sports since he was first taken to a Toronto Maple Leafs game in 1998, and he's been writing about them professionally since 2014.</p><p>Nick has covered baseball and hockey for outlets like The Athletic, Sportsnet, and Yahoo Sports while growing his expertise in sports data analysis and research.&nbsp;</p><p>Between 2022 and 2023, he worked for a betting startup called NorthStar Bets. In 2024, he contributed to Oddspedia before joining the RG team.</p>
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Nick has been fascinated with sports since he was first taken to a Toronto Maple Leafs game in 1998, and he's been writing about them professionally since 2014.

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