Top Things to Bet on Super Bowl: A Beginner’s Guide to Smart Wagers

14 min read
Oct 8, 2024, 1:06 PM
Author
Sol Fayerman-Hansen
Sol Fayerman-Hansen
Editor-in-Chief
Last Updated: Oct 8, 2024, 1:16 PM

Understanding Super Bowl Bets

The Super Bowl is more than just the final game of the NFL season. It’s a cultural phenomenon that draws in millions of viewers worldwide, including seasoned sports bettors and casual fans looking to place a fun wager. From predicting the final score to guessing how many songs Taylor Swift might perform at the halftime show, the Super Bowl offers endless betting opportunities. In this comprehensive guide, we’ll walk you through the top things to bet on during the Super Bowl, provide tips on making smart wagers, and highlight responsible gambling practices.

Understanding Super Bowl Bets

Betting on the Super Bowl is unique compared to regular season NFL games. The popularity of the event, combined with the diverse pool of bettors, means there’s a wider variety of wagers available. Whether you’re placing a straightforward bet on which team will win or diving into more complex Super Bowl prop bets, understanding the fundamentals is essential.

Super Bowl bets generally fall into three primary categories:

  1. Standard Bets: These include point spreads, moneyline bets, and over/under totals.
  2. Prop Bets: Wagers on specific in-game events or occurrences, such as “Will the first play of the game be a pass or run?”
  3. Specialty Bets: Fun Super Bowl bets like the coin toss, national anthem length, or halftime show props.

What Are Super Bowl Prop Bets?

Prop bets, short for proposition bets, are one of the most exciting aspects of Super Bowl betting. They allow you to wager on events that are not directly tied to the game’s outcome, such as which team will score first or whether the Star-Spangled Banner will last over two minutes.

Popular Prop Bet Categories:

  • Game Props: Total number of first downs, combined rushing yards, or whether the game will go into overtime.
  • Player Props: How many receiving yards Travis Kelce will have or if Patrick Mahomes will throw a touchdown pass in the first quarter.
  • Team Props: Will the Kansas City Chiefs score in every quarter? Or will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow more than 350 total yards?

Types of Bets for Super Bowl

When betting on the Super Bowl, you can choose from a range of wagers. Here’s a closer look at the primary types of Super Bowl bets:

  • Moneyline Bets: A bet on which team will win the game. If you bet on the Kansas City Chiefs to win, and they do, you win your moneyline bet.
  • Point Spread: A wager on the margin of victory. For example, if the Chiefs are favored by 7 points, they must win by more than 7 for you to win your bet.
  • Over/Under (Total Points): Bet on the total number of points scored by both teams. If the line is set at 49.5 points, you can bet whether the combined score will be over or under that number.
  • Prop Bets: Wagers on specific game outcomes or player performances. These range from simple bets like the length of the national anthem to more complex bets like the total passing yards of a specific quarterback.

Super Bowl Prop Bets

Prop bets come in various forms, and bettors often prefer them for their entertaining nature. They offer a way to wager on the game without focusing on who wins or loses. Some of the most exciting Super Bowl prop bets include:

  • First Touchdown Scorer: Wager on which player will score the game’s first touchdown.
  • Total Receiving Yards: How many receiving yards will a player like Travis Kelce or a wide receiver accumulate?
  • Coin Toss Outcome: Bet on whether the coin will land on heads or tails.
  • Gatorade Color: Predict the color of the Gatorade that will be dumped on the winning head coach.

Prop betting can be a part of your betting strategy, especially when you mix analytical prop bets (such as player stats) with novelty bets (like the halftime show).

Game Props

Game props are wagers on specific game events. These are ideal for bettors who want to focus on the nuances of gameplay rather than the final score. Examples include:

  • Will There Be a Safety?: Betting on whether a safety will occur during the game.
  • Longest Touchdown: Predicting whether the longest touchdown will be over or under a set number of yards.
  • Total Field Goals: Bet on the total number of field goals made in the game.

These props can often provide value as they’re less influenced by public sentiment and more based on objective analysis of the game.

Team and Player Props

Team and player props offer endless possibilities. Here’s a table highlighting some common team and player prop bets:

CategoryExample BetDescription
Team PropsKansas City Chiefs Total Points Over 27.5Bet on whether the Chiefs will score more than 27.5 points.
Player PropsPatrick Mahomes Over 300 Passing YardsBet on whether Mahomes will throw for more than 300 yards.
Scoring PropsFirst Team to ScoreWager on which team will score the first points.
Specialty PropsTotal Sacks by Chiefs Defense Over 2.5Bet on whether the Chiefs defense will record more than 2.5 sacks.
Novelty PropsColor of Gatorade Dumped on Winning CoachPredict the color of the Gatorade poured on the winning head coach.

Handicapping Super Bowl Prop Bets

When it comes to handicapping Super Bowl prop bets, research is crucial. Take the time to analyze player performance, matchups, and recent trends. For example, if a star player like Patrick Mahomes is playing with an injury, it may impact his passing yards. Similarly, if a team’s defense has been struggling to stop the run, betting on a running back’s over rushing yards might be a smart move.

Tips for Betting Super Bowl Props

Betting on Super Bowl props can be an engaging way to participate in the big game. However, without a solid strategy, you might find yourself making uninformed bets. Before placing bets on Super Bowl props, consider the following tips:

  • Research Player and Team Stats: Review player performance data from the regular season and playoffs to identify trends.
  • Monitor Injuries and Updates: An injury to a starting quarterback or wide receiver can heavily impact Super Bowl prop outcomes.
  • Set a Budget: Determine a betting budget and adhere to it. This ensures you’re not risking more than you can afford.
  • Diversify Your Bets: Mix high-risk props with safer options to spread your risk.
  • Focus on Value, Not Hype: Just because a prop bet is getting a lot of attention doesn’t mean it offers value. Look for props where you can find an edge.

Super Bowl Sunday Betting

Super Bowl Sunday is the pinnacle of sports betting, drawing millions of dollars in wagers. The sheer volume of bets and the excitement of the big game can overwhelm even the most seasoned bettors. That’s why it’s crucial to go into Super Bowl Sunday with a clear game plan. Here are a few strategies to keep you grounded:

  • Place Bets Early: Lock in favorable odds before they shift as game day approaches. Online sportsbooks tend to adjust lines based on betting trends closer to the game.
  • Avoid Last-Minute Bets: Super Bowl Sunday is filled with distractions. Betting last minute can lead to rushed decisions and poor choices.
  • Limit Live Betting: While live betting can be fun, it’s easy to get caught up in the moment. Only place live bets if you have a solid strategy and can remain disciplined.

Live-Betting the Super Bowl

Live-betting the Super Bowl is an exhilarating experience, allowing you to place wagers as the game progresses. This can be a smart way to capitalize on opportunities that arise during the game, but it requires quick thinking and a deep understanding of the teams and players involved. Here’s how you can make the most of live-betting during the big game:

  • Monitor Game Flow: Look at the box score to see which team is gaining momentum. This can help you predict potential outcomes.
  • Identify Comeback Opportunities: If one team starts strong but is known for faltering in the second half, you might find value betting on the other team to stage a comeback.
  • Set Clear Limits: Avoid placing too many bets in the heat of the moment. Stick to a predetermined strategy to keep your bets in check.

Super Bowl MVP Odds

The Super Bowl MVP award is one of the most prestigious honors, often going to the quarterback of the winning team. However, MVP bets can yield surprising results if a non-quarterback, like a defensive player, has a standout performance. When placing a bet on Super Bowl MVP odds, consider these factors:

  • Impact on the Game: Will this player significantly influence the outcome of the game?
  • Narrative-driven Choices: Media narratives can play a role in deciding the MVP. Think about who the “feel-good” pick might be if it’s a close call.
  • Real-Life Example: In Super Bowl 50, Von Miller, a defensive player, took home the MVP trophy, offering great returns for those who bet on him. This is why evaluating more than just quarterbacks can provide good value.

Super Bowl Betting Strategies

To successfully bet on the Super Bowl, you need to have a clear strategy in place. Relying on luck or emotion can quickly deplete your bankroll. Consider the following strategies to make the most of your Super Bowl betting experience:

  • Focus on Matchups: Analyze how each team’s strengths and weaknesses align. If a team like the Chiefs struggles against wide receivers, it might be worth betting on an “over” for receiving yards.
  • Leverage Regular Season Data: Look at how teams performed against similar opponents or in similar situations.
  • Monitor Line Movement: Keep an eye on how the betting lines shift. If a team suddenly becomes an underdog, it might be due to unexpected news or injuries.

Super Bowl Betting for Beginners

For new bettors, the excitement of Super Bowl Sunday can be overwhelming. Start by focusing on straightforward bets like the moneyline, point spread, or total points. As you gain experience, you can explore more complex options, like props and live betting.

Advanced Super Bowl Betting Tips

For experienced bettors looking to take their Super Bowl betting to the next level, consider these advanced strategies:

  • Cross Sport Prop Bets: Combine Super Bowl outcomes with results in other sports, such as comparing the number of touchdowns in the game to how many points an NBA player will score that night.
  • Hedge Bets: If you’ve placed a large bet on one team, use prop bets to hedge your position and minimize potential losses.
  • Shop for the Best Odds: Don’t settle for the first odds you see. Use odds comparison tools to ensure you’re getting the best value for each bet.

Super Bowl Betting Resources

Having the right resources at your disposal can make all the difference in your Super Bowl betting experience. Utilize these websites to enhance your strategy:

  • NFL.com: Offers comprehensive stats, game previews, and player analysis for informed decision-making.
  • Pro Football Reference: A go-to for historical data and previous Super Bowl outcomes.
  • ESPN: Provides expert analysis and insights on team matchups and betting trends.

Best Betting Sites for Super Bowl Bets

Choosing the right sportsbook is critical for getting the most out of your Super Bowl bets. The top online sportsbooks offer competitive odds, a wide range of prop bets, and user-friendly platforms. Consider these options:

Super Bowl Sportsbooks

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Super Bowl Betting FAQs

General Super Bowl Betting FAQs

What’s the easiest Super Bowl bet for beginners?

Moneyline bets are the simplest, as they involve choosing the team you think will win outright.

Can you bet on the Super Bowl halftime show?

Yes, sportsbooks often offer props on the number of songs, first song performed, and potential guest appearances.

How do I manage my bankroll during Super Bowl betting?

Allocate a set amount of money for Super Bowl bets, and consider placing smaller wagers on prop bets to spread out your risk.

What’s the most fun Super Bowl prop bet?

The Gatorade color bet is a fan favorite due to its unpredictability and fun nature.

<p>Sol has over 20 years of experience in writing for diverse industries including sports, gambling, regulation, technology, and startups. As the Editor-in-Chief at RG, Sol brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the role, focusing on delivering transparent, evidence-based content grounded in thorough research. Sol's mission is to empower readers to enjoy gambling responsibly and make informed decisions, enhancing their overall experience through insightful and engaging content. Under Sol's leadership, <a href="https://www.rg.org">RG</a> prioritizes the highest standards of integrity and reliability, ensuring that all information provided is accurate and trustworthy. Sol's dedication to transparency and research-based writing helps create a responsible gambling environment where readers can truly benefit from the content. This commitment to excellence has positioned RG as a leading source of information in the gambling industry.</p><p><strong>Experience:</strong></p><ul><li>Over 20 years in writing and editing across multiple industries</li><li>Former head of regional innovation at BMO Financial Group</li><li>Senior Writer, Online Casino Reports</li></ul>
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Paruyr Shahbazyan began his business career in 2000 as a private entrepreneur. Over thirteen years, he developed a deep understanding for business and leadership, laying a solid foundation for his professional journey.

In 2013, Paruyr stepped into the sports and betting industry as the founder and president of Bookmaker Rating. This online mass media platform, which he led until 2020, focused on providing in-depth analysis and insights in sports betting, earning a reputation for its quality content. 

Continuing his innovative approach in 2022, Paruyr co-founded Azuro, a decentralized betting protocol. This venture showcases his dedication to integrating advanced technology in the evolving landscape of sports betting. Through these diverse experiences, Paruyr has continuously influenced and shaped the betting industry, driving new trends and setting high standards.

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Engaged in private entrepreneurship2000-2013
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Looking towards the future, Paruyr envisions a betting landscape that is more inclusive, technologically advanced, and globally connected. He anticipates a significant shift towards more decentralized and transparent betting systems, driven by blockchain technology. Paruyr is committed to being at the forefront of this change, continuously exploring new possibilities and innovations that can redefine what it means to engage in sports betting in a digital world. His focus is on building systems that prioritize user empowerment, fairness, and the global growth of the sports betting community.

 

Sol Fayerman-Hansen
Sol Fayerman-Hansen
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Sol has over 20 years of experience in writing for diverse industries including sports, gambling, regulation, technology, and startups. As the Editor-in-Chief at RG, Sol brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the role, focusing on delivering transparent, evidence-based content grounded in thorough research. Sol's mission is to empower readers to enjoy gambling responsibly and make informed decisions, enhancing their overall experience through insightful and engaging content. Under Sol's leadership, RG prioritizes the highest standards of integrity and reliability, ensuring that all information provided is accurate and trustworthy. Sol's dedication to transparency and research-based writing helps create a responsible gambling environment where readers can truly benefit from the content. This commitment to excellence has positioned RG as a leading source of information in the gambling industry.

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  • Former head of regional innovation at BMO Financial Group
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Between 2022 and 2023 he worked for a betting startup called NorthStar Bets, and in 2024 he contributed to Oddspedia before joining the Responsible Gambler team.

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