Understanding NFL MVP Odds
The NFL MVP award, given to the most valuable player during the regular season, is one of the most prestigious accolades in the National Football League. Betting on NFL MVP odds involves predicting which player will be honored as the league's most valuable player. The odds to win are determined by various factors, including player performance, team success, and historical trends.
NFL MVP History and Trends
The history of the NFL MVP winners provides valuable insights into what it takes to win. Historically, quarterbacks have dominated the award, with notable winners like Brett Favre, Aaron Rodgers, and Patrick Mahomes. Defensive players and non-QBs have a tougher path to the most valuable player, although legends like LT and Page have managed to secure the honor.
Quarterbacks have won the NFL MVP award 42 times since 1961, highlighting their pivotal role in the league.
Notable Past MVP Winners
- Brett Favre: Favre won three consecutive times in the 1990s for the Packers, showcasing his consistency and dominance.
- Aaron Rodgers: The Green Bay Packers quarterback has multiple awards, with his most recent in 2020.
- Adrian Peterson: The Minnesota Vikings running back won in 2012, one of the rare non-QB winners.
- Lawrence Taylor: The New York Giants linebacker was a dominant defensive player who won in 1986.
Top Contenders for 2024-25 NFL MVP
The 2024-2025 NFL season is shaping up to be a big year for the MVP award with several players in the mix. Based on current odds and performance here are the NFL players with the best odds to win the award this season:
1. Patrick Mahomes - Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes is a perennial MVP favorite. Off another great season and a Super Bowl win Mahomes will continue to be dominant. He makes big plays, he leads a competitive team and is known for his accuracy, ability to throw on the run and making plays under pressure. Given his history it’s no surprise he’s at the top of the odds again.
2. Josh Allen - Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen is another MVP candidate. As the leader of the Buffalo Bills Allen is a dual threat as a passer and runner. He’s shown big improvement in his decision making and accuracy over the last few seasons and if he takes the Bills deep in the playoffs it will help his MVP case. He can put up big numbers through the air and on the ground so he’s a favorite among the oddsmakers.
3. Jalen Hurts - Philadelphia Eagles
Jalen Hurts had an outstanding 2023-2024 season and led the Philadelphia Eagles to the Super Bowl. With his arm strength, accuracy and mobility Hurts is proving to be a dynamic QB who can lead his team to sustained success. If he can match or beat last season’s performance Hurts will be a top MVP candidate. His leadership and ability to make plays with his legs adds another layer to his MVP case.
4. Joe Burrow - Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Burrow is another QB with good MVP odds going into the 2024-2025 season. Burrow has become one of the top passers in the league and has led the Cincinnati Bengals to the playoffs in back to back seasons. His pocket presence, football IQ and ability to spread the ball to his talented receiving corps gives him an advantage. If Burrow builds on his previous success and the Bengals are a top team he’ll be in the MVP mix.
5. Justin Herbert - Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert’s MVP stock has been trending up the last few years and 2024-2025 could be his breakout season. He’s got the arm and accuracy to be one of the top QBs in the league. With the Chargers adding more weapons on offense Herbert’s numbers could go through the roof this season. If the Chargers make a deep playoff run Herbert will be in the MVP conversation.
6. Dak Prescott - Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott is an MVP candidate going into the 2024-2025 season and looks to lead the Dallas Cowboys to success. He’s got leadership, arm talent and mobility and is in position for a career year. The Cowboys have a balanced offense and top defense so Prescott could put up big numbers. If he can stay healthy and take the Cowboys deep in the playoffs his MVP odds will only get better as the season goes on.
7. C.J. Stroud - Houston Texans
C.J. Stroud the rookie QB is a long shot in the MVP race for 2024-2025. It’s rare for a player to win MVP so early in their career but Stroud has shown he’s got the potential. If he continues to grow and impress as the leader of the Houston Texans Stroud could surprise a lot of people. He may not be the favorite but he’s definitely one to watch as he develops into one of the best in the league.
The 2024-2025 MVP race is going to be tight with several players looking elite. Quarterbacks are always the conversation but the NFL is always changing so surprises are always possible. Keep an eye on the odds as the season goes on, injuries, team success and individual performance will be the key to the MVP.
