Decoding the Numbers: Draftkings Odds Explained

8 min read
Sep 11, 2024, 6:01 PM
Author
Nick Ashbourne
Nick Ashbourne
Senior Writer
Last Updated: Dec 10, 2024, 3:35 PM

Understanding Odds in Sports Betting

Odds play a crucial role in sports betting, representing the probability of a specific outcome occurring in a sporting event. 

They also determine the potential payout for a winning bet. Understanding odds is essential for making informed betting decisions and calculating potential profits.

In the context of sports betting, odds serve two primary purposes:

  1. They indicate the likelihood of an event happening, with lower odds typically suggesting a higher probability.
  2. They determine the amount of money a bettor can win relative to their wager.

Grasping these concepts is fundamental for anyone looking to engage in sports betting on platforms like DraftKings.

Odds are not just numbers; they represent a sportsbook's assessment of probability and help bettors calculate potential returns.

Odds Formats and Calculations

Different regions and betting platforms use various formats to represent odds. 

The three most common formats are American odds, decimal odds, and fractional odds.

Understanding how to interpret and convert between these formats can help bettors navigate different sportsbooks and compare betting opportunities.

American Odds

American odds, also known as moneyline odds, are the standard format used by DraftKings and most U.S.-based sportsbooks. They are represented by positive or negative numbers.

  • Positive odds (e.g., +150) indicate the potential profit on a $100 wager.
  • Negative odds (e.g., -200) show how much one needs to bet to win $100.

For example, with odds of +150, a $100 bet would yield a $150 profit if successful. Conversely, with odds of -200, a bettor would need to wager $200 to win $100.

Decimal Odds and Fractional Odds

While DraftKings primarily uses American odds, it's beneficial to understand other formats:

  • Decimal odds represent the total return on a $1 bet, including the original stake. For example, odds of 2.50 mean a $1 bet would return $2.50 (including the $1 stake).
  • Fractional odds, common in the UK, show the potential profit relative to the stake. For instance, odds of 5/1 mean a $1 bet would yield $5 in profit.
Odds FormatExampleMeaning
American+150$150 profit on $100 bet
Decimal2.50$2.50 total return on $1 bet
Fractional5/1$5 profit on $1 bet
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How Odds Affect Payouts

The odds directly influence the payout of a winning bet. 

In general, betting on favorites offers lower potential payouts but higher chances of winning, while betting on underdogs provides higher potential payouts with lower probabilities of success.

To calculate potential payouts:

  • For positive American odds: (Odds / 100) x Wager = Profit
  • For negative American odds: (100 / Odds) x Wager = Profit

For example, a $50 bet at +200 odds would yield a profit of (200 / 100) x $50 = $100. The total payout would be $150, including the original stake.

Always factor in the original stake when considering total returns. The profit is the additional money won, while the payout includes the returned stake.

Key Concepts in Odds and Sports Betting

Several key concepts are essential for understanding odds in sports betting:

Implied Probability: This is the likelihood of an outcome occurring, as suggested by the odds. To calculate implied probability from American odds:

For positive odds: 100 / (Odds + 100)

For negative odds: |Odds| / (|Odds| + 100)

Vigorish (Vig): Also known as juice, this is the commission charged by sportsbooks on bets. It's built into the odds and ensures profit for the bookmaker.

Line Movement: Odds can change over time due to various factors, including betting patterns and new information about the event.

Understanding these concepts can help bettors interpret odds more effectively and make more informed decisions when placing wagers.

Mastering Odds for Informed Betting Decisions

To make informed betting decisions, it's crucial to go beyond simply understanding how to read odds. 

Bettors should consider several factors:

  1. Research: Analyze team and player statistics, recent performance, head-to-head records, and other relevant data.
  2. Line Shopping: Compare odds across different sportsbooks to find the best value for your bets.
  3. Bankroll Management: Set a budget for betting and stick to it, regardless of wins or losses.
  4. Understanding Value: Look for bets where the actual probability of an outcome is higher than what the odds suggest in a variety of formats from alternate spreads to teasers.

By combining these strategies with a solid understanding of odds, bettors can make more informed decisions and potentially improve their long-term results.

FAQ

Odds Format

How are DraftKings odds explained?

DraftKings odds are typically presented in American odds format, with positive numbers indicating potential profit on a $100 bet and negative numbers showing how much to bet to win $100.

Betting Assistance

How can I get help on how to bet on DraftKings?

DraftKings provides various resources for betting assistance, including a comprehensive FAQ section, customer support, and educational content on their website and app.

Changing Odds

Do odds change on DraftKings?

Yes, odds on DraftKings can change due to various factors, including betting patterns, new information about events, and market conditions.

Payout Calculation

How does DraftKings calculate payouts?

DraftKings calculates payouts based on the odds and the amount wagered. For positive odds, the calculation is (Odds / 100) x Wager = Profit. For negative odds, it's (100 / |Odds|) x Wager = Profit.

Access Denial

What does "access denied" mean on DraftKings?

"Access denied" typically indicates a technical issue or geographical restriction. If you encounter this message, try refreshing the page or contacting DraftKings customer support.

<p>Nick has been fascinated with sports since he was first taken to a Toronto Maple Leafs game in 1998, and he's been writing about them professionally since 2014.</p><p>Nick has covered baseball and hockey for outlets like The Athletic, Sportsnet, and Yahoo Sports while growing his expertise in sports data analysis and research.&nbsp;</p><p>Between 2022 and 2023, he worked for a betting startup called NorthStar Bets. In 2024, he contributed to Oddspedia before joining the RG team.</p>
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Meet our Authors

Paruyr Shahbazyan started his business career as an entrepreneur in 2000. Over 13 years, he learned business and leadership, which laid the foundation for his career.

In 2013, Paruyr entered the sports and betting industry as the founder and president of Bookmaker Rating, an online media platform he led until 2020. The platform focuses on in-depth analysis and insights in sports betting and has gained a reputation for quality content.

In 2022, Paruyr co-founded Azuro, a decentralized betting protocol. This shows his commitment to technology in the sports betting space. Through all these experiences, Paruyr has been shaping and influencing the betting industry, setting new trends and standards.

Innovation in sportsbetting comes from a deep understanding of both technology and the human element of sports.

Strategic Vision

Paruyr's vision is to revolutionize the sports entertainment industry by integrating technology. He sees the future of sports entertainment as a blend of traditional sports knowledge with innovative tech solutions, like decentralized protocols, to enhance user experience and fairness. He aims to create platforms that are not only user-friendly but also uphold the highest standards of ethical reporting, contributing to a more responsible and enjoyable sports culture.

Sol Fayerman-Hansen
Sol Fayerman-Hansen
Editor-in-Chief

With 20+ years of writing experience across sports, gambling, regulation, technology, and startups, Sol brings a broad understanding to his role as Editor-in-Chief at RG. His work provides clear, factual information to help readers make informed decisions about gambling. Sol’s approach is about transparency and research, so the content at RG is straightforward, evidence-based, and accessible.

At RG, Sol keeps the focus on the reader by maintaining a standard of reliability and integrity in the information shared. Under his editorial direction, RG aims to provide practical insights into sports and sports entertainment that support a balanced and informed approach. Sol’s approach has helped RG become a go-to source for readers looking to engage responsibly and thoughtfully in the industry.

Cristina Varela Galan
Cristina Varela Galan
Problem Gambling Expert

Cristina used to work as a Psychology Assistant in the Bizkaia Pathological and Risky Gamblers Association. She was also part of a research team in Deusto University, specializing in pathological gambling area. While working there, she managed to develop her own project 

 “Exploring the association between emotional regulation, alexithymia, stressful life events and gambling in adolescent and young adult women”.

Nick Ashbourne
Nick Ashbourne
Senior Writer

Nick has been fascinated with sports since he was first taken to a Toronto Maple Leafs game in 1998, and he's been writing about them professionally since 2014.

Nick has covered baseball and hockey for outlets like The Athletic, Sportsnet, and Yahoo Sports while growing his expertise in sports data analysis and research. 

Between 2022 and 2023, he worked for a betting startup called NorthStar Bets. In 2024, he contributed to Oddspedia before joining the RG team.

Sergey Demidov
Sergey Demidov
Head of News Department

Sergey has been in sports journalism since 2007 as a reporter, editor, and manager. He has covered the Olympic Games, soccer World Cups, the World Cup of Hockey in 2016, the European championships, the Stanley Cup Finals, IOC events, and many others. Sergey interviewed the sport's greatest athletes, coaches, and executives. Since 2016, he has been an Independent Senior Editor of NHL.com/ru.

Anna Kravtcova
Anna Kravtcova
Problem Gambling Expert

Ph.D. in organizational psychology, an internationally certified psychologist (EuroPsy 2022, Cognitive behavioural therapy of mindfulness 2020, International Society for Emotional Intelligence 2017, Russian Psychological society 2014, American Psychological Association(Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychologist) 2011), speaker of many international conferences (USA, Brazil, Portugal, Czech Republic, Russia, etc.). TEDx speaker.

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